Deciphering Iran’s Cyber Activities
Dec 2016 · Dirasat Book 18 · King Faisal Center for Research and Islamic Studies (KFCRIS)
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This research paper explores the topical implications of the new realities and calculations surrounding Iran’s rapidly-evolving cyber ecosystem. The study traces a variety of cases where attribution is overwhelmingly linked to cyber interference emerging from the Islamic Republic, in which perpetrators act at arm’s length in an effort to insulate definitive accountability. First, the findings include an in-depth account describing the strategic and technical ramifications of the infamous Stuxnet worm, a Western cyber attack that crippled nuclear centrifuges at the Iranian enrichment facility at Natanz in 2009. Second, the paper outlines the lessons learned from Natanz, from an Iranian perspective, by shedding light on the country’s increasing domestic efforts to centralize and professionalize its cyber clout. This is done in an attempt to streamline limited capacities, effectively making Iran a competitive top-tier player in the global cyber realm to date. Lastly, the paper describes Iran’s strategic departure in the aftermath of Stuxnet, moving away from mere defacement campaigns towards extensive cyber sabotage operations. Such a move resulted in repeated intrusive operations, either directly or through regional proxies, which hit the broader Middle East, the US and European nations from 2009 up until the present.
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