Making Climate Forecasts Matter

¡ ¡ ¡ ¡
¡ National Academies Press
āχ-āĻŦ⧁āĻ•
192
āĻĒ⧃āĻˇā§āĻ āĻž
āϰ⧇āϟāĻŋāĻ‚ āĻ“ āϰāĻŋāĻ­āĻŋāω āϝāĻžāϚāĻžāχ āĻ•āϰāĻž āĻšā§ŸāύāĻŋ  āφāϰāĻ“ āϜāĻžāύ⧁āύ

āĻāχ āχ-āĻŦ⧁āϕ⧇āϰ āĻŦāĻŋāĻˇā§Ÿā§‡

El Nino has been with us for centuries, but now we can forcast it, and thus can prepare far in advance for the extreme climatic events it brings. The emerging ability to forecast climate may be of tremendous value to humanity if we learn how to use the information well.

How does society cope with seasonal-to-interannual climatic variations? How have climate forecasts been usedÃĸâ‚Ŧ"and how useful have they been? What kinds of forecast information are needed? Who is likely to benefit from forecasting skill? What are the benefits of better forecasting?

This book reviews what we know about these and other questions and identifies research directions toward more useful seasonal-to-interannual climate forecasts. In approaching their recommendations, the panel explores:

  • Vulnerability of human activities to climate.
  • State of the science of climate forecasting.
  • How societies coevolved with their climates and cope with variations in climate.
  • How climate information should be disseminated to achieve the best response.
  • How we can use forecasting to better manage the human consequences of climate change.

āχ-āĻŦ⧁āϕ⧇ āϰ⧇āϟāĻŋāĻ‚ āĻĻāĻŋāύ

āφāĻĒāύāĻžāϰ āĻŽāϤāĻžāĻŽāϤ āϜāĻžāύāĻžāύāĨ¤

āĻĒāĻ āύ āϤāĻĨā§āϝ

āĻ¸ā§āĻŽāĻžāĻ°ā§āϟāĻĢā§‹āύ āĻāĻŦāĻ‚ āĻŸā§āϝāĻžāĻŦāϞ⧇āϟ
Android āĻāĻŦāĻ‚ iPad/iPhone āĻāϰ āϜāĻ¨ā§āϝ Google Play āĻŦāχ āĻ…ā§āϝāĻžāĻĒ āχāύāĻ¸ā§āϟāϞ āĻ•āϰ⧁āύāĨ¤ āĻāϟāĻŋ āφāĻĒāύāĻžāϰ āĻ…ā§āϝāĻžāĻ•āĻžāωāĻ¨ā§āĻŸā§‡āϰ āϏāĻžāĻĨ⧇ āĻ…āĻŸā§‹āĻŽā§‡āϟāĻŋāĻ• āϏāĻŋāĻ™ā§āĻ• āĻšā§Ÿ āĻ“ āφāĻĒāύāĻŋ āĻ…āύāϞāĻžāχāύ āĻŦāĻž āĻ…āĻĢāϞāĻžāχāύ āϝāĻžāχ āĻĨāĻžāϕ⧁āύ āύāĻž āϕ⧇āύ āφāĻĒāύāĻžāϕ⧇ āĻĒ⧜āϤ⧇ āĻĻā§‡ā§ŸāĨ¤
āĻ˛ā§āϝāĻžāĻĒāϟāĻĒ āĻ“ āĻ•āĻŽā§āĻĒāĻŋāωāϟāĻžāϰ
Google Play āĻĨ⧇āϕ⧇ āϕ⧇āύāĻž āĻ…āĻĄāĻŋāĻ“āĻŦ⧁āĻ• āφāĻĒāύāĻŋ āĻ•āĻŽā§āĻĒāĻŋāωāϟāĻžāϰ⧇āϰ āĻ“ā§Ÿā§‡āĻŦ āĻŦā§āϰāĻžāωāϜāĻžāϰ⧇ āĻļ⧁āύāϤ⧇ āĻĒāĻžāϰ⧇āύāĨ¤
eReader āĻāĻŦāĻ‚ āĻ…āĻ¨ā§āϝāĻžāĻ¨ā§āϝ āĻĄāĻŋāĻ­āĻžāχāϏ
Kobo eReaders-āĻāϰ āĻŽāϤ⧋ e-ink āĻĄāĻŋāĻ­āĻžāχāϏ⧇ āĻĒāĻĄāĻŧāϤ⧇, āφāĻĒāύāĻžāϕ⧇ āĻāĻ•āϟāĻŋ āĻĢāĻžāχāϞ āĻĄāĻžāωāύāϞ⧋āĻĄ āĻ“ āφāĻĒāύāĻžāϰ āĻĄāĻŋāĻ­āĻžāχāϏ⧇ āĻŸā§āϰāĻžāĻ¨ā§āϏāĻĢāĻžāϰ āĻ•āϰāϤ⧇ āĻšāĻŦ⧇āĨ¤ āĻŦā§āϝāĻŦāĻšāĻžāϰāĻ•āĻžāϰ⧀āϰ āωāĻĻā§āĻĻ⧇āĻļā§āϝ⧇ āϤ⧈āϰāĻŋ āϏāĻšāĻžā§ŸāϤāĻž āϕ⧇āĻ¨ā§āĻĻā§āϰāϤ⧇ āĻĻ⧇āĻ“ā§ŸāĻž āύāĻŋāĻ°ā§āĻĻ⧇āĻļāĻžāĻŦāϞ⧀ āĻ…āύ⧁āϏāϰāĻŖ āĻ•āϰ⧇ āϝ⧇āϏāĻŦ eReader-āĻ āĻĢāĻžāχāϞ āĻĒāĻĄāĻŧāĻž āϝāĻžāĻŦ⧇ āϏ⧇āĻ–āĻžāύ⧇ āĻŸā§āϰāĻžāĻ¨ā§āϏāĻĢāĻžāϰ āĻ•āϰ⧁āύāĨ¤