We must note that dilemmas are generally defined as ‘...a situation in which a difficult choice has to be made between two or more alternatives, featuring most often equally undesirable ones with uncertain outcomes…’ This insightful definition equips us to conditionally set the stage for examining the presumptive geopolitical trajectory of China after 2025. Why conditionally? Most assuredly because we cannot fathom or estimate in 2024 all the unforeseen crises, wildcards and variables which could influence or trigger China’s leadership to act or refrain from doing so during the decade beginning in 2025. This is also cloaked in the parallel assumption that the future geostrategic trajectory of the United States is both well-known and predictable.
The decade after 2025 will be of primary significance for China and its Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leadership team. Numerous theories and assessments by experts and seasoned observers will be offered to explain this landmark decade for the CCP and filter into the analysis China’s fragmented and covertly conflicted population. How many of its leaders want to retain an ironclad CCP control over all aspects of life in China for decades to come and can they do so? Instead consider how many millions of Chinese citizens yearn instead during this new decade for a unique form of democratic revolt with Chinese characteristics starting right now? So, a paramount dilemma for China, its leaders and its people is what dilemmas will unfold and manifest during the decade starting in 2025. Dilemmas abound for the CCP and China itself. One such dilemma is rooted in the military dimension of the CCP and the global security paradigm which China favors for itself.
Dr. Ryan Clarke is a seasoned intelligence, biodefense, investigations, and strategy leader with global experience across defense, finance, technology, and law enforcement. He has spent 20 years operating in the Indo-Pacific, managing complex investigations and sensitive operations with governments and other stakeholders. His work has often taken place under high-pressure, high-consequence conditions. Dr. Clarke has authored six books and over 150 intelligence and technical reports, several of which are considered seminal. He holds a PhD from the University of Cambridge, where he received the Salje Medal, and is fluent in multiple critical languages.
LJ Eads is a prior U.S. Air Force Intelligence Officer, Signals Intelligence Analyst, and the Founder of Data Abyss. LJ is the Director of Research Intelligence at Parallax Advanced Research. He has developed artificial intelligence capabilities in the domains of Space, Cyber, and Open-Source Intelligence for the Intelligence Community. He currently develops capabilities that are directly improving the United States ability to collect, analyze, and provide intelligence products in the arena of China’s strategic science and technology development using multi-lingual open sources.
Robert McCreight was a former US Army Special Operations Officer serving 24 years in that capacity along with well over 20 years experience in national security and foreign policy in various federal agencies. McCreight held a doctorate in Public Policy, had published 4 books and 34 articles on advanced technology systems, and periodically taught graduate school courses on these subjects.
Sean Lin is an Assistant Professor at Feitian College Middletown New York. He is a former U.S. Army Officer and Microbiologist. He obtained his Ph.D. degree in Microbiology and Immunology at University of Alabama at Birmingham, and a Master Degree in International Relations from the Maxwell School at Syracuse University. He is a frequent commentator for the Epoch Times Media Group, Radio Free Asia and Voice of America. He is also a member of the Committee of Present Danger: China.