Regression To The Mean: Why Our Intuitive Predictions Ignore The Pull Towards The Average

WHY OUR INTUITIVE PREDICTIONS IGNORE THE PULL TOWARDS THE AVERAGE

(PSYCHOLOGY & BEHAVIOR)

WRITTEN BY: CAMBRIDGE REVIEW PUBLISHING

ABOUT THIS BOOK

This book has been crafted by integrating the insights and expertise of numerous renowned international specialists in the field. Rather than relying on a single or average source, it draws from a rich combination of premium, authoritative perspectives, ensuring that readers gain access to the highest quality knowledge available.

CONTENT:

The Hidden Hand Of Chance: Introducing Regression To The Mean

Galton's Insight: The Discovery Of A Universal Principle

The "Law Of Small Numbers" And Extreme Results

Our Mind's Causal Obsession: Why Statistics Are Ignored

The "Sports Illustrated Jinx": Misinterpreting Randomness

The Imperfect Link: Understanding Correlation

Intuitive Predictions: As Extreme As The Evidence

The Halo Effect And The Illusion Of Understanding

Overconfidence And The Neglect Of Uncertainty

The Lazy System 2: Failing To Engage In Statistical Thought

Teaching The Unteachable: The Challenge Of Regression

A Practical Guide: Correcting Intuitive Predictions

The Moderation Principle: Why Unbiased Predictions Are Often Unflattering

Organizational Blind Spots: Regression In Business And Policy

Embracing Complexity: Living More Rationally With Chance